Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.407850 0.470467 0.538535 0.617899 0.707763 0.806225 0.922144
2025-09-28 0.293244 0.376772 0.476538 0.603890 0.761484 0.949404 1.189700
2025-10-05 0.240317 0.334373 0.454731 0.618738 0.834897 1.108366 1.478573
2025-10-12 0.210495 0.312636 0.450878 0.649412 0.924522 1.289145 1.805152
2025-10-19 0.183834 0.289368 0.439458 0.665152 0.991786 1.442348 2.104567
2025-10-26 0.160453 0.266422 0.424115 0.671332 1.043361 1.575154 2.383388
2025-11-02 0.139797 0.244072 0.405952 0.669733 1.081202 1.688822 2.640811
2025-11-09 0.121124 0.221894 0.384778 0.660082 1.104262 1.780416 2.870098
2025-11-16 0.105617 0.202597 0.365489 0.650484 1.125091 1.868307 3.097827
2025-11-23 0.090524 0.181762 0.340930 0.629012 1.123790 1.920143 3.271227
2025-11-30 0.086402 0.180163 0.348919 0.662942 1.215978 2.126072 3.701824
2025-12-07 0.075292 0.163810 0.328792 0.645413 1.218726 2.185526 3.897178
2025-12-14 0.065426 0.148688 0.309510 0.627969 1.220993 2.245869 4.101201
2025-12-21 0.057261 0.135858 0.293089 0.614111 1.228401 2.315489 4.326066
2025-12-28 0.053254 0.131218 0.292032 0.629215 1.289774 2.482808 4.730195
2026-01-04 0.051219 0.130599 0.298921 0.660362 1.383470 2.713361 5.259638
2026-01-11 0.047925 0.126633 0.298374 0.676343 1.448993 2.896585 5.714558
2026-01-18 0.044131 0.120922 0.293423 0.682618 1.495652 3.047454 6.118719
2026-01-25 0.040130 0.114092 0.285190 0.680994 1.525983 3.168919 6.474519
2026-02-01 0.035985 0.106250 0.273748 0.671195 1.538523 3.256643 6.771110
2026-02-08 0.032305 0.099031 0.262870 0.661451 1.550112 3.342741 7.068878
2026-02-15 0.028319 0.090327 0.247403 0.639649 1.533974 3.372377 7.257627
2026-02-22 0.027865 0.091390 0.255856 0.674099 1.642608 3.659622 7.971394